Predicting Fruit Fly Outbreaks with Seasonal Models
Jim Crocker
20th April, 2024
Image Source: Natural Science News, 2024
Key Findings
- In Sri Lanka, the Oriental fruit fly is expected to increase in density from 2020 to 2025
- Predictions indicate a 20% rise in wet zones, 30% in intermediate zones, 26% in dry zones, and 37% in arid zones by 2025
- The arid zone may face the highest fruit fly density, while the wet zone may have the lowest by 2025
References
Main Study
1) Seasonal forecasting of Bactrocera dorsalis Hendel, 1912 (Diptera: Tephritidae) in bioclimatic zones of Sri Lanka using the SARIMA model
Published 18th April, 2024
https://doi.org/10.1186/s43170-024-00241-2
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